Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.147318 0.172452 0.200098 0.232697 0.270017 0.311334 0.360469
2025-12-14 0.100456 0.132904 0.172574 0.224323 0.289692 0.369134 0.472556
2025-12-21 0.075735 0.109978 0.155307 0.219017 0.305444 0.417678 0.573350
2025-12-28 0.062440 0.097929 0.148066 0.222909 0.330365 0.477364 0.691530
2026-01-04 0.053910 0.090426 0.145003 0.230779 0.359979 0.544587 0.824718
2026-01-11 0.046647 0.083234 0.140807 0.235603 0.384651 0.605995 0.954113
2026-01-18 0.040325 0.076273 0.135631 0.237677 0.404572 0.661280 1.078296
2026-01-25 0.034864 0.069717 0.129955 0.237800 0.420773 0.711498 1.198018
2026-02-01 0.029895 0.063115 0.123131 0.234848 0.431138 0.752752 1.306214
2026-02-08 0.025651 0.057095 0.116387 0.230960 0.439086 0.790138 1.410336
2026-02-15 0.021499 0.050492 0.107576 0.222088 0.437096 0.810297 1.486830
2026-02-22 0.020339 0.049863 0.110022 0.234320 0.473831 0.898947 1.685141
2026-03-01 0.017278 0.044649 0.102810 0.227358 0.474955 0.926324 1.781173
2026-03-08 0.014630 0.039875 0.095821 0.219972 0.474513 0.950884 1.874324
2026-03-15 0.012568 0.036071 0.090306 0.214829 0.477718 0.982043 1.981260
2026-03-22 0.011435 0.034344 0.089119 0.218660 0.499148 1.048814 2.158410
2026-03-29 0.010679 0.033453 0.089706 0.226395 0.529241 1.134255 2.376320
2026-04-05 0.009818 0.032106 0.089017 0.231136 0.553377 1.209659 2.579794
2026-04-12 0.008904 0.030426 0.087263 0.233175 0.571788 1.274832 2.767368
2026-04-19 0.008003 0.028591 0.084840 0.233296 0.585873 1.332034 2.942519
2026-04-26 0.007074 0.026472 0.081359 0.230394 0.592805 1.374818 3.091189
2026-05-03 0.006224 0.024407 0.077701 0.226573 0.597181 1.412384 3.231369
2026-05-10 0.005307 0.021897 0.072404 0.217854 0.589109 1.422549 3.314958